Market Thinking

making sense of the narrative

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Category: Corona Virus

Groundhog Day

So Punxsutawney Phil saw his own shadow but then went back into lockdown, which means (to no-one’s surprise) another six weeks of lockdown and mask wearing. Frankly he is as informed as any of the other government ‘experts’ on this. Read more…


Traders go full deflation trade

Having held up remarkably well during the first full month of the Corona Virus pan(dem)ic, equity and high yield bond markets took a tumble this week as a combination of technical buying of US Treasuries – pushing long bond yields Read more…


PanDemics and Dem Panics

At the start of the year we assumed that the biggest rise in market uncertainty would be due to US politics and that this would begin with the Democratic Primaries. While it is very unusual for US Presidents not to Read more…