New Normal, New media, New Website

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February 20, 2023
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Regular readers will have spotted that we have a brand new website, developed here in Hong Kong with our friends and colleagues at ToscaFund HK. Full disclosure; in addition to running Market Thinking Limited, I also act as CIO and Managing Director of ToscaFund HK. The sister company ToscaFund Asset Management, is a London based specialist investment firm established over 20 years ago. There is a link at the bottom of the page to their site or here (Toscafund.com) for more information about them. (Note this is for professional investors only).

Meanwhile, we thought it fitting that the first post on the new website would be one involving  what is largely for us a new media, a video interview. This is something I did with the CISI (The Chartered Institute of Securities and Investment) when I was recently briefly back in London. In it, I discuss with George Littlejohn some of the topics already discussed here around the concept of what we are calling the new 'New Normal'. It's quite a long video, but hopefully worth the time(!)

Link to the video: CISI TV - The new "new normal" in investment

We hope to do more videos in the near future, all feedback welcome!

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The X Factor

This was not about Left versus Right, it was about a generational shift, from the Boomers to Gen X. This will then also move the children of the Boomers - the Millennials - down in favour of the next generation, the Zoomers of Gen Z. The economy and the markets will now shift in line with their traits and behaviours.

Pause, Rewind, Repay

The upcoming Election has been an excuse for markets to hit pause. Experience tells us that the best way to trade the 'reaction' is usually to fade it, as it will reflect pre-positioning around risk and that the initial sell-off or rally is not the start of a new directional trend. We suspect with Hedge Fund 'year end' coming up soon at Thanksgiving that traders will be flattening books, while asset allocators and lo0ng term investors, while perhaps putting some precautionary cash back in to existing trades, will wait for more clarity.

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